Analysis Today TheBitTimes.com

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman breaks down the Federal Reserve balance sheet and explains why China’s deflation can negatively impact Bitcoin. On the latest episode of Macro Markets , analyst Marcel Pechman explains the impacts of the United States Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, breaking down how the Fed inflated its assets by $5 trillion between December 2019 and April 2022. Pechman notes that the expansion period coincides with a 38% crash in the S&P 500 index. Moreover, the Federal Reserve balance sheet surpassed the $8.9 trillion mark right as the stock market index reached its 4,800-point all-time high. The problem, according to Pechman, is that the U.S. Treasury Department has a huge deficit, as the government spends more than it gets from revenues and taxes. Consequently, it needs to start rolling some of the debt instead of letting it expire, so odds are it won’t be able to continue reducing the balance sheet any longer — something that has been a huge c...

A fresh report from Glassnode suggests that Bitcoin has built a solid foundation below the $30,000 level. Glassnode's latest analysis suggests that Bitcoin has built a strong foundation below the $30,000 level, and the current supply structure shows similarities to early 2016 and early 2019. The report shows that the Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply is just shy of a new all-time high with a total supply balance of 14.161 million BTC. In contrast, short-term holders (STH), who acquired coins after FTX failed, have seen their supply balance of 2.914 million BTC remain relatively constant in 2023. Long-term holders are unfazed despite major downturns By April 12, 155 days had passed since the FTX exchange collapsed on Nov. 8, 2022. The 155-day mark is crucial because it is the minimum length of time that a Bitcoin holder must have held their coins to be classified as a long-term holder (LTH). Thus, the supply distribution can be divided into two halves, first, before FTX’s collapse to r...

Bitcoin's bull market is likely to start earlier than expected due to anticipation of the BTC halving and favorable macroeconomic conditions, according to Mark Yusko, founder and CEO of Morgan Creek Capital Management. The next crypto bull market will start sooner than most people think, according to Mark Yusko, the founder and CEO of Morgan Creek Capital Management. Yusko thinks the next crypto bull run or, as he calls it, "the crypto summer ," could kick off as soon as the second quarter of this year due to the combination of more dovish central bank policies and the anticipation of the Bitcoin (BTC) halving.  While the United States Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates anytime soon, according to Yusko, the markets tend to anticipate the Fed's decisions. That means even a slowing down or a pause in interest-rate hikes would be interpreted as the signal of an imminent pivot. That would spark a positive dynamic among all risk assets, including crypto. ...