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BTC price action has yet to match one Bitcoin trader's long-term target, but "patience is key," he says nearly one year later. Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing a key Fibonacci retracement level which could mark the top of its “pre- halving rally.” That is according to popular social media trader Titan of Crypto, who on Nov. 19 reiterated a pre- halving BTC price target of up to $50,000. Trader: $39,000 is pre-halving BTC price target range floor Bitcoin faces stiff resistance sliding back to the $40,000 mark; several attempts to crack it have failed in the past week. As Cointelegraph reported, the area immediately below also holds significance for aggregate market profitability, with $39,000 likely a breakeven point for those who bought in during the 2021 bull market. Titan of Crypto has also flagged $39,000 as an important boundary — this time, however, as the bottom of where BTC/USD should end up prior to the April 2024 block subsidy halving event. “The pre halving rally I...

Historically, the cryptocurrency market has benefited from the rise in global money supply as the majority of the bull runs in the past coincided with the rise in fiat supply. The rising M2 money supply could propel crypto into another bull rally and help it outperform the traditional markets, according to Raoul Pal, co-founder and CEO of financial media platform Real Vision. Pal’s X post highlighted the correlation between the rising fiat market supply and the start of the crypto bull run. Pal, in an X( formerly Twitter) post, shared a graph comparing Bitcoin’s (BTC) yearly performance against the global M2 money supply, indicating the simultaneous rise of Bitcoin and global M2 supply. Historically, the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market has started outperforming the traditional financial market with a rise in global M2 supply. Bitcoin vs Global M2 supply. Source: Global Macro Investor The chart above shows that Bitcoin’s price is on the verge of decoupling from the traditional mark...

Bitcoin holds higher BTC price levels into what looks to be a crunch week for crypto markets across the board. Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week at comfortable highs as traders square off over BTC price action to come. As macroeconomic uncertainty continues to grow, Bitcoin is cementing its new trading zone above $30,000. The highest weekly close since early May 2022 is the latest achievement for bulls, and so far, bid support has allowed the market to avoid a deep retracement after last week’s snap 15% gains. How could the environment change for BTC/USD this week? As Bitcoin heads into the October monthly close, would-be volatility catalysts are brewing — not least thanks to the increasing geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Adding to the hurdles for risk assets to overcome is the United States Federal Reserve, which will decide on interest rate adjustments on Nov. 1. Under the hood, Bitcoin is looking better than ever, and the numbers prove it — network fundamentals are eithe...

BTC price gets a fresh boost from market calm over Fed interest rate policy, as Bitcoin traders eye further gains. Bitcoin (BTC) headed higher into the Sep. 14 Wall Street open despite fresh macro data showing resurgent United States inflation . BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView Bitcoin gains while U.S. PPI beats forecast Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC price action as it made new September highs, topping out at $26,762. Bitcoin built on strength seen after the previous daily close, ignoring the implications of the U.S. inflation rebound as confirmed by both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) August prints. The latter came in at 1.6% year-on-year against market expectations of 1.3%. Crypto nonetheless joined traditional markets in rejecting the idea that U.S. macro policy might stay more restrictive for longer in order to tame inflation . According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there was practically no consensus over ...

Bitcoin sentiment is the worst one analyst has ever seen as BTC price action holds its own into Thanksgiving. Bitcoin (BTC) lingered near $16,500 at the Nov. 23 Wall Street open as United States markets awaited Thanksgiving cues. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView Grayscale, GBTC still dominate crypto mood Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD shunning volatility after fresh two-year lows the day prior. The pair left analysts guessing the day before U.S. markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, with crypto commentators still focused on Digital Currency Group (DCG). Potential liquidity problems with DCG-owned Genesis Trading continued to agitate those already expecting further losses across Bitcoin and altcoins. As Cointelegraph reported, concerns had already spread to doubt the future of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the largest Bitcoin institutional investment vehicle with assets under management worth over $10 billion. ...

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman breaks down the Federal Reserve balance sheet and explains why China’s deflation can negatively impact Bitcoin. On the latest episode of Macro Markets , analyst Marcel Pechman explains the impacts of the United States Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, breaking down how the Fed inflated its assets by $5 trillion between December 2019 and April 2022. Pechman notes that the expansion period coincides with a 38% crash in the S&P 500 index. Moreover, the Federal Reserve balance sheet surpassed the $8.9 trillion mark right as the stock market index reached its 4,800-point all-time high. The problem, according to Pechman, is that the U.S. Treasury Department has a huge deficit, as the government spends more than it gets from revenues and taxes. Consequently, it needs to start rolling some of the debt instead of letting it expire, so odds are it won’t be able to continue reducing the balance sheet any longer — something that has been a huge c...

BTC price weakness continues into Wall Street trading, and Bitcoin has yet to rival seller capitulation from earlier this year. Bitcoin (BTC) stayed near two-month lows at the Aug. 18 Wall Street open as markets came to terms with extreme liquidations. "Drying liquidity" costs BTC price key support Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price action tracking sideways after a single daily candle spawned 8% losses. The largest cryptocurrency saw a cascade of liquidations across derivatives markets, with these accounting for an “outsized” majority amid relatively slack spot selling. “In Deribit it is likely that a large account got wiped, considering the immense short liquidation that occured together,” trading firm QCP Capital wrote in a market update sent to Telegram channel subscribers on the day. Bitcoin liquidations composite chart. Source: QCP Capital QCP, like others, noted that the market reaction to the alleged trigger — a write-down of SpaceX’...

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman explains how Argentina’s 150% inflation is actually helping the altcoin market by luring more investors. On today’s Macro Markets show, veteran stock market and Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman starts by analyzing Argentina’s 150% inflation , which proves that people continue to work and consume (somehow) even if their local currency loses its value. What is the lesson here? For starters, everyone wants free money. That explains why altcoin s and airdrops continue to attract attention, regardless of whether the majority of investors end up being unprofitable. You might think that those investors would quickly learn their lesson, but in reality, quite the opposite occurs. All it takes is a new market ing strategy — a new way of promising free money — just like the Argentines have a tendency to forget the mess the governments have caused over the course of 10 years. For Pechman, the bottom line is: Forget any promise of free money or ...

The stock markets closed Friday on a positive note, with Dow Jones 2.1% higher, the S&P 500 added 1.4%, and the Nasdaq gained almost 1%, topping the April 2022 highs. Moreover, the May jobs report came mixed showing hotter-than-expected payrolls, unexpectedly higher unemployment, and a slowdown in annual wage growth. advertisement However, the challenges for the markets are not over, especially for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. The US Treasury Dept will rebuild its depleted cash balance by issuing an estimated $1 trillion in Treasury bills after the debt ceiling deal. Citigroup strategists predict Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) near-term outlook remains bleak as cash reserves in the Treasury General Account fell to $22.89 billion on June 1 from $635.99 billion in March. Crypto assets are vulnerable to higher volatility and weaker returns. Over $1 trillion T-bills sales by the end of the third quarter will drain US dollar liquidity from the financi...

BTC’s price could be on the verge of a bullish breakout, according to derivatives data, but ultimately the macroeconomic scenario will dictate the trend. Bitcoin’s  price has stabilized near $27,000 since May 13, displaying reduced volatility in the period. This movement is eerily similar to early April, when Bitcoin’s (BTC) 12-hour chart ranged between $27,800 and $28,700 for 11 days. Traders are now questioning whether a bullish breakout is the next possible outcome for the Bitcoin price . Bitcoin/USD price index, 12-hour. Source: TradingView According to technical Analysis , the sideways movement illustrates an ongoing conflict, meaning traders are unsure about the direction of Bitcoin’s next price trend. This is a consequence of balanced demand between buyers and sellers, which typically precedes periods of extreme price volatility and is triggered by big events. In other words, Bitcoin traders are waiting for a potential market trigger that could decisively push the BTC price...

A fresh report from Glassnode suggests that Bitcoin has built a solid foundation below the $30,000 level. Glassnode's latest analysis suggests that Bitcoin has built a strong foundation below the $30,000 level, and the current supply structure shows similarities to early 2016 and early 2019. The report shows that the Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply is just shy of a new all-time high with a total supply balance of 14.161 million BTC. In contrast, short-term holders (STH), who acquired coins after FTX failed, have seen their supply balance of 2.914 million BTC remain relatively constant in 2023. Long-term holders are unfazed despite major downturns By April 12, 155 days had passed since the FTX exchange collapsed on Nov. 8, 2022. The 155-day mark is crucial because it is the minimum length of time that a Bitcoin holder must have held their coins to be classified as a long-term holder (LTH). Thus, the supply distribution can be divided into two halves, first, before FTX’s collapse to r...

An unprecedented number of BTC margin longs recently closed at Bitfinex, leaving analysts searching for explanations. Since May 2022, the Bitcoin (BTC) margin markets on the Bitfinex exchange have been plagued by an unusually high open interest of over $2.7 billion. This information alone should raise a red flag, especially in light of Bitcoin's price decline from $39,000 to less than $25,000 during the same period. Traders seeking to leverage their cryptocurrency position had borrowed over 105,000 Bitcoin. Currently, the cause of this anomaly is unknown, as well as the number of entities involved in the trade. Cheap borrowing favors high demand Bitfinex's sub-0.1% annual rate may be a contributing factor to the size of the Bitcoin lending market. To date, this has been the norm and it creates enormous incentives for borrowing, even if there is no current need. There are few traders who would turn down such a ridiculously inexpensive leverage opportunity. Margin borrowing can...

The total crypto market cap has stalled at the $1.2 trillion level, but derivatives data shows bulls are preparing for the next breakout. After gaining 11% between March 16 and March 18, the total crypto market capitalization has been battling resistance at the $1.2 trillion level. This same level was reached on August 14, 2022 and was followed by a 19.7% decline to $960 billion over the next two weeks. During the lateralization period between March 20 and March 27, Bitcoin (BTC) gained 0.3%, while Ether (ETH) posted modest gains of 1.6%. Total crypto market cap in USD, 12-hour. Source: TradingView One source of favorable short-term momentum is a change in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy The U.S. Federal Reserve was forced to increase its balance sheet by $393 billion between March 9 and March 23 in order to provide short-term loans to failing banks. The objective of the plan was to reduce inflation, which has significantly impacted the cost of living and ultimately hampered ec...

BTC margin and options markets are steady, even as investors run for cover as crypto and stock prices fall. Bitcoin (BTC) traders saw continued downward pressure after the 5.5% decline in BTC price on March 7. Increased odds of further interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve and regulatory pressure in cryptocurrencies explain some of the movement. Financial markets showed signs of stress as the inverted bond curve reached its highest level since the 1980s. Longer-term dated yields have stalled at 4%, while two-year treasury notes traded above 5% yield in March. Since July, longer-dated treasury yields have failed to keep pace with the surging two-year benchmark, resulting in the inverted curve distortion that typically precedes economic downturns. According to Bloomberg, the indicator reached a full percentage point on March 7, the highest level since 1981, when Fed Chair Paul Volcker faced double-digit inflation. This week, BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, in...

On this week’s episode of The Market Report, Cointelegraph’s resident experts discuss the impact of the Silvergate collapse on crypto. This week on The Market Report, the resident experts at Cointelegraph discuss all the details regarding Silvergate and its impact on the crypto market so far. We kick things off with this week’s top stories Bitcoin traders eye $19K BTC price bottom, warn of ‘hot’ February CPI It could be a testing few weeks for Bitcoin and risk assets, market commentators say, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell due to kick off the triggers on March 8. Historically, March has not been a great month for Bitcoin (BTC), and 2023 seems to be following that trend. After an uneventful weekend, which offered few trading opportunities, the current concern seems to be around the forthcoming macroeconomic data from the United States. Specifically, the February print of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), due March 14, is expected to be “hot,” or above expectations. Is a sub-$20,000 Bitcoi...

BTC options data suggest that the Bitcoin price rally still has legs, even with wider economic concerns growing and the potential of a brief pause in the crypto market rally. This week Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to a 2023 high at $23,100 and the move followed a notable recovery in traditional markets, especially the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index, which gained 2.9% on Jan. 20. Economic data continues to boost investors' hope that the United States Federal Reserve will reduce the pace and length of interest rate hikes. For instance, sales of previously owned homes fell 1.5% in December, the 11th consecutive decline after high mortgage rates in the United States severely impacted demand. On Jan. 20, Google announced that 12,000 workers were laid off, more than 6% of its global workforce. The bad news continues to trigger buying activity on risk assets, but Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan, expects weaker earnings guidance to "put downward pressure...