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Bitcoin holds higher BTC price levels into what looks to be a crunch week for crypto markets across the board. Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week at comfortable highs as traders square off over BTC price action to come. As macroeconomic uncertainty continues to grow, Bitcoin is cementing its new trading zone above $30,000. The highest weekly close since early May 2022 is the latest achievement for bulls, and so far, bid support has allowed the market to avoid a deep retracement after last week’s snap 15% gains. How could the environment change for BTC/USD this week? As Bitcoin heads into the October monthly close, would-be volatility catalysts are brewing — not least thanks to the increasing geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Adding to the hurdles for risk assets to overcome is the United States Federal Reserve, which will decide on interest rate adjustments on Nov. 1. Under the hood, Bitcoin is looking better than ever, and the numbers prove it — network fundamentals are eithe...

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman breaks down the Federal Reserve balance sheet and explains why China’s deflation can negatively impact Bitcoin. On the latest episode of Macro Markets , analyst Marcel Pechman explains the impacts of the United States Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, breaking down how the Fed inflated its assets by $5 trillion between December 2019 and April 2022. Pechman notes that the expansion period coincides with a 38% crash in the S&P 500 index. Moreover, the Federal Reserve balance sheet surpassed the $8.9 trillion mark right as the stock market index reached its 4,800-point all-time high. The problem, according to Pechman, is that the U.S. Treasury Department has a huge deficit, as the government spends more than it gets from revenues and taxes. Consequently, it needs to start rolling some of the debt instead of letting it expire, so odds are it won’t be able to continue reducing the balance sheet any longer — something that has been a huge c...

Also Read: Tesla Retains Dogecoin As Payment Option; Removes Bitcoin advertisement According to the CME FedWatch Tool, a platform that assesses the likelihood that the Fed will change the target rate at the upcoming meeting, the market is fully confident that there will be a 25 bps hike from the current target rate of 500-525 bps. As many as 99.2% of respondents feel the US central bank will impose an interest rate hike in the July meeting. What Low Volatility Means For Bitcoin Price Currently, the top cryptocurrency’s volatility is at a six month low level, thanks to the recent sideways movement surrounding the news of financial giants like Blackrock filing for spot Bitcoin ETFs with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Glassnode data shows that the last time Bitcoin price saw such a tight volatility squeeze was in January 2023, when the Crypto Market price saw a jump with Bitcoin itself recording a 30% rise. Also, historically, t...

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman explains how Argentina’s 150% inflation is actually helping the altcoin market by luring more investors. On today’s Macro Markets show, veteran stock market and Cointelegraph analyst Marcel Pechman starts by analyzing Argentina’s 150% inflation , which proves that people continue to work and consume (somehow) even if their local currency loses its value. What is the lesson here? For starters, everyone wants free money. That explains why altcoin s and airdrops continue to attract attention, regardless of whether the majority of investors end up being unprofitable. You might think that those investors would quickly learn their lesson, but in reality, quite the opposite occurs. All it takes is a new market ing strategy — a new way of promising free money — just like the Argentines have a tendency to forget the mess the governments have caused over the course of 10 years. For Pechman, the bottom line is: Forget any promise of free money or ...

The Ethereum network has faced withdrawals from its smart contract applications, putting the recent ETH price rally in check. Ether (ETH) price faced resistance after hitting the $1,970 level on July 3. A number of factors capped the rally, including higher odds of more interest rate hikes in the coming months and a tighter regulatory cryptocurrency environment. Macro headwinds from the Fed Besides the external factors, the Ethereum network has faced withdrawals from its smart contract applications, which also put the June rally in check. Investors now question whether the tailwinds from Bitcoin’s (BTC) ETF requests have faded, opening room for a correction down to the $1,700 level last seen on June 16. The recent macroeconomic events may provide some hints, including the, U.S. Gross Domestic Product grew by an annualized 2% in the first quarter, Germany’s Consumer Price Index increased 6.8% in June versus the previous year, and The China Caixin global services purchasing managers’ i...

David Wessel Hints “Skip” In Rate Hikes The 69-year-old industry veteran expressed his belief that the Federal Reserve is likely to skip rate hikes at the June meeting, citing positive labor market conditions, decreasing inflation and the U.S. averting a possible default situation, which could have triggered a catastrophic market crash. advertisement During the interview, Wessel — a two-time Pulitzer Prize awardee — was quoted as saying: I think it’s pretty clear the Fed is going to skip rate hikes at the June meeting. He further highlighted that although the decision to hold the policy rate constant at an upcoming meeting should not be interpreted as reaching the peak rate for this cycle, skipping a rate hike would instead provide the Committee with an opportunity to gather more data before making further policy decisions. This aligns with the sentiments expressed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on May 19, who also signaled support for...

An unprecedented number of BTC margin longs recently closed at Bitfinex, leaving analysts searching for explanations. Since May 2022, the Bitcoin (BTC) margin markets on the Bitfinex exchange have been plagued by an unusually high open interest of over $2.7 billion. This information alone should raise a red flag, especially in light of Bitcoin's price decline from $39,000 to less than $25,000 during the same period. Traders seeking to leverage their cryptocurrency position had borrowed over 105,000 Bitcoin. Currently, the cause of this anomaly is unknown, as well as the number of entities involved in the trade. Cheap borrowing favors high demand Bitfinex's sub-0.1% annual rate may be a contributing factor to the size of the Bitcoin lending market. To date, this has been the norm and it creates enormous incentives for borrowing, even if there is no current need. There are few traders who would turn down such a ridiculously inexpensive leverage opportunity. Margin borrowing can...

The total crypto market cap has stalled at the $1.2 trillion level, but derivatives data shows bulls are preparing for the next breakout. After gaining 11% between March 16 and March 18, the total crypto market capitalization has been battling resistance at the $1.2 trillion level. This same level was reached on August 14, 2022 and was followed by a 19.7% decline to $960 billion over the next two weeks. During the lateralization period between March 20 and March 27, Bitcoin (BTC) gained 0.3%, while Ether (ETH) posted modest gains of 1.6%. Total crypto market cap in USD, 12-hour. Source: TradingView One source of favorable short-term momentum is a change in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy The U.S. Federal Reserve was forced to increase its balance sheet by $393 billion between March 9 and March 23 in order to provide short-term loans to failing banks. The objective of the plan was to reduce inflation, which has significantly impacted the cost of living and ultimately hampered ec...

BTC margin and options markets are steady, even as investors run for cover as crypto and stock prices fall. Bitcoin (BTC) traders saw continued downward pressure after the 5.5% decline in BTC price on March 7. Increased odds of further interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve and regulatory pressure in cryptocurrencies explain some of the movement. Financial markets showed signs of stress as the inverted bond curve reached its highest level since the 1980s. Longer-term dated yields have stalled at 4%, while two-year treasury notes traded above 5% yield in March. Since July, longer-dated treasury yields have failed to keep pace with the surging two-year benchmark, resulting in the inverted curve distortion that typically precedes economic downturns. According to Bloomberg, the indicator reached a full percentage point on March 7, the highest level since 1981, when Fed Chair Paul Volcker faced double-digit inflation. This week, BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, in...

Bitcoin's bull market is likely to start earlier than expected due to anticipation of the BTC halving and favorable macroeconomic conditions, according to Mark Yusko, founder and CEO of Morgan Creek Capital Management. The next crypto bull market will start sooner than most people think, according to Mark Yusko, the founder and CEO of Morgan Creek Capital Management. Yusko thinks the next crypto bull run or, as he calls it, "the crypto summer ," could kick off as soon as the second quarter of this year due to the combination of more dovish central bank policies and the anticipation of the Bitcoin (BTC) halving.  While the United States Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates anytime soon, according to Yusko, the markets tend to anticipate the Fed's decisions. That means even a slowing down or a pause in interest-rate hikes would be interpreted as the signal of an imminent pivot. That would spark a positive dynamic among all risk assets, including crypto. ...